[r/LocalLLaMA] Can we say that each year an open-source alternative replaces the previous year's closed-source SOTA?

Summary

The user observes a strong trend where current year open-source AI models are capable of replacing the previous year's closed-source state-of-the-art models, citing examples like GLM5 or Kimi K2.5 replacing Anthropic Sonnet 3.5. This suggests that Large Language Models will increasingly depreciate and become accessible like electronic products, rather than remaining indefinitely expensive. If this trend continues, it implies that even advanced models like future versions of Opus or GPT could eventually be hosted locally.

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