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[Paper] Teacher Forcing as Generalized Bayes: Optimization Geometry Mismatch in Switching Surrogates for Chaotic Dynamics

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Summary

Identity Teacher Forcing (ITF) has been highly effective for stably training recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. However, this paper highlights that as an intervention-based prediction loss, teacher forcing's optimization geometry may not align with the free-running model's marginal likelihood, indicating a potential mismatch when switching surrogates for chaotic dynamics.

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